The Sky is Falling! The Sky is Falling!

Spring Training = Serious business.

That's it guys, I'm going to level with you. It's all over. It's all done, finished. There's no point in even WATCHING the Jays play this season at the rate they're going. Hell, they should just refuse to play. I mean, it's only completely logical. They're 5-11 right now. That's awful! Shameful! Let's do some calculation to look at just how godawful this team is going to be.

Over 162 games, they're looking at a 51-111!!! And that's giving them an extra win. GOD. JP is in soooo much trouble. On the bright side, Hill is in the running for MVP this year. That .524 AVG is amazing. Well, at least we can find solace in the fact that the Yankees and Red Sox won't take the division this year. The standings will shake out like this:

1. Tampa Bay Rays
2. Baltimore Orioles
3. New York Yankees
4. Boston Red Sox
5. Toronto Blue Jays

Shucks for the O's though, the Royals are taking the wild card. It was close though. The Red Sox and the Indians are going to be crushed. I mean, finishing so low in your respective divisions after an ALCS berth must be tough. Also, cheers to the A's winning the West. They have it in the bag.

Honestly, do I sound like enough of a jackass yet? If not, please let me know. I could go on. There are so many people out there with their fingers on the panic button, acting like the Spring Training record actually matters. Do we want them to hit? In the season, yes. Otherwise who the hell cares? Wells and Johnson almost hit .400 last spring training and we all know how that one turned out. I mean, Marcum went in yesterday throwing a new pitch, not caring that it was getting hit around. He kept throwing it to see if he could get a feel for it.

I understand that people are concerned about the offense in the wake of what happened last year. This panic is a hangover from watching everyone pop up to the opposing infield all year. It's understandable. But people have to realize that the time to win is NOT Spring Training. No one remembers who finished first the year previous in Spring Training. Spring Training is the time to work on things, try out new approaches, and get a feel for what game action is like again.

If everyone comes out healthy, the numbers they put up don't make a lick of difference.

Ichiro Suzuki is 1-25 this spring. Something tells me he's going to hit .325ish once again in 2008, regardless of an abysmal spring.

ST is a success if everyone's healthy. Oh shi-

As per usual, I'm late to the party. Very late to the party, in this particular case, as Spring Training is like... Half over. And I haven't recanted any scores or bitched about a thing since the beginning of it all, and have very few excuses to offer. I guess following the games has been all of the procrastination I've been allowed the last couple of weeks. Until now!

Ouch dude, ouch:
Now, if you'll allow me to beat a dead horse... I'm pretty sure that if you're reading this blog, you're well aware of what's happened to Casey Janssen. The whole torn labrum thing doesn't look very good for hurlers, as I'm sure most of you are well aware. Personally, I'm driven crazy when I'm faced with a concept I know nothing about, so naturally I've been doing a lot of reading about the labrum and the kind of tear Casey has. So here's a little bit of a mini-report on what I've learned about the labrum. If you medical buffs out there spot anything out of order, give me a shout. If you want to skip the medical bullshit because you're bored, go wild. I won't judge. Just ignore me from here on out.

What is a labrum? Basically it's a thin bit of collagen that rests between two bones (the head of the humerus and the glenoid fossa, the curve in which the humerus sits). It provides the shoulder with shock absorption and is very important to the connective structure of the shoulder. A tear reduces the strength of the shoulder greatly, so in addition to the discomfort Casey was experiencing, he would also have a noticeable lack of stamina should he attempt to pitch through it.

A need for labrum surgery is pretty hard to diagnose... Sometimes it takes 5 doctors looking at an MRI to find a problem. Even then, sometimes exploratory surgery must be done determine whether or not there actually is a tear. Just for fun, here are some pics to look at with the difference between a torn labrum and a torn labrum post-op. The left with the arrows is pre-op, the right image is post-op, obviously. The images were found here.
The problem with the labrum is that it's NOT a muscle... Muscles can be strengthened both surgically and naturally. The labrum is instead unable to be strengthened through any means. If Casey was willing to sit out and recover, he could return healed in two-three years... Which obviously isn't an option for a young pitcher who had just figured it out.

Here's a little bit of information more relevant to Janssen himself. His tear is small and starting from the anterior, says the Globe, which is actually good news for athletes. It's also known as a SLAP tear (Superior Labral tear from Anterior to Posterior), which occurs at the point where the head of the biceps tendon attaches.

I'm sure you're probably wondering... How did this happen? Well, it's caused mainly when a pitcher throws too often or when they are fatigued. Before everyone starts flipping about how "It's Gibby's fault because he pitched Janssen too much last year!", I'm going to reinforce this... Every arm is different. It's very possible Casey didn't even know he was experiencing shoulder fatigue (many don't know) and it's not really possible to pinpoint if and when a tear will happen... It just does. You can't "baby" a pitcher to avoid it. If it's going to tear, it's going to tear, unless the pitcher stops throwing all together... Which kind of defeats the whole point when talking about salvaging a pitcher's career.

Now we'll talk a little bit about the procedure to fix this little problem. Non-surgical means include strengthening exercises, icing, medications, and anti-inflammatories. However, the healing process through these means is long... As mentioned before, 2-3 years. Of course, there is a surgical process. Essentially an orthopedic surgeon would repair or remove the torn part of the labrum through arthroscopic surgery or through a full open shoulder procedure. Sounds fun.

The rehab process from the surgery itself lasts about 3 to 4 months... Which pretty much jives with the time that Ricciardi gave of Janssen picking up a ball in 4 months. The problem is, he's going to be as weak as a baby chick for a while and we're going to have to keep out fingers crossed that he can get back to where he was. He has a long road ahead of him, probably being unable to move his arm for the first six weeks. Unpleasant.

With all that being said, we have to be a bit realistic here... The torn labrum is a pitcher's worst enemy, and the chances aren't great. I'm sure by now you've read the excellent (albeit discouraging) article by Will Carroll (see link below) about the torn labrum and how it destroys pitchers. In the article, you're looking at about a 3% chance we'll see Casey being Casey again. Freaking ouch.

Personally, I'm choosing to take the optimistic approach. Robert Gordon, An orthopedic surgeon in Toronto with a background in sports medicine, claims that although a torn labrum can be a career killer... That doesn't mean that it necessarily is. He claims Janssen's chances are 50/50. I like that a whole lot better than 3/97, personally. Really, Casey is looking at the best case scenario for someone with a tear. He's young (he'll recover more quickly than an older guy would), it's small (according to JP anyway, for what it's worth), and it's an anterior tear, which is better news than a posterior tear for an athlete. I think the fact that JP considered letting him pitch through it initially is either a good sign that it could be a good deal worse or that JP is a jackass. I'd bank on the former, actually. According to Jeff Blair, he did tell Janssen it was an option, but he didn't like the idea. He might have favoured it if Janssen was a veteran guy with mileage, but since he was young... He didn't want to risk it. Some guys do actually pitch with tears, and pitch quite well. Finally, I think Janssen's "bulldoggedness" (as JP put it) is going to keep him from giving up. No doubt that this kid is going to fight for it, and I don't think there's going to be a Jays fan in the world that won't be cheering him on.

Where does this leave the Jays? Well, it leaves them in a good position still, but with slightly less depth. Think of it this way... There were plans for a Janssen-less bullpen, and there were plans for a Janssen-less rotation. Janssen was an asset, no doubt... But they can hold down the fort without him. I don't like the idea of Purcey being the next in line if and when Burnett goes down, but I guess we'll have to cross that bridge when we come to it. Though I'm not 100% sure JP is going to be comfortable with that approach; we may see a trade a-brewin'.

I think the heavier impact of this is on a personal level for Janssen. Can you imagine having the best year you've had, doing something you love, and then suddenly finding out you may never be able to do it again? I'm sure Janssen is well aware of what he's facing, and it probably scares the bejebus out of him. Ricciardi claimed he was "crushed", and I think that's pretty fair. It's an awful thing to happen to anyone. I think the fact that Janssen is such a nice, young, talented kid makes it that much worse.

I guess at this point we just have to hope JP is right. Janssen's a young kid, having his surgery, putting it behind him, and moving on. Also, we can laugh about how freaking sad it is that I looked this much into it.

If you're looking for more information, or just want to see my sources:
Baseball's most fearsome injury - By Will Carroll
Shoulder Pain Info - Labral Tears
Janssen sidelined for season - Robert Macleod
Janssen's injury sends shock waves - Jeff Blair

Notice what I did there? I sprinkled in all those pictures to spare you the pain. Too bad that didn't work.

Minor note:
Also, Lind, Thigpen, Diaz, Coats, Purcey and Inglett were optioned to Syracuse today. Lydon and Patterson were reassigned to the minor league camp. This leaves:

Pitchers:
Randy Wells
Armando Benitez
Shawn Camp
Jesse Carlson
Lance Carter
Kane Davis
Mike Gosling
John Parrish

Position Players:
Sal Fasano (C)
Hector Luna (IF)
Matt Watson (OF)

With the exception of Wells (who can't be sent down, but only returned to the Cubs)... Those men are all non-roster invitees. Meaning they sent down everyone that they could without losing anyone.

For those of you that have been bitching about it... We're going to see a lot more play out of our regulars from here on in. Time to see what these boys can do during fake play.

On a final note, in honour of Zaun absolutely nailing it in the game today... Have some Ninja Zaun.

Also, TSN can blow me for making the lack of ST success seem like more of a big deal than it is. It's because of comments like the ones they're making that make the "the sky is falling" crowd come out. "None of the projected starters on the Jays has an ERA under 4 this spring" they say in a sad tone. Who the fuck cares? FAKE GAMES, TSN. FAKE GAMES.

Oh Kenny,

So, I was watching some of the footage on Sportsnet in which excruciatingly annoying reporter Barry Davis asks perpetual fly-on-the-wall Ken Rosenthal about what he thought about the Jays' chance this season. And here is what was said:

BARRY DAVIS: "Should the expectations be this high?"

KEN ROSENTHAL: "The expectations absolutely are justified. This is a very good team, a team that if it stays healthy, if its under-achieving players from last year perform better; I think could be a force in the American League East, perhaps even past the Yankees. I had an American League general manager tell me yesterday that he thinks the Blue Jays are not getting enough credit. They're a better team than most people think right now."

BARRY DAVIS: "Well, you know... The Blue Jays didn't go out and make a splash in the free agent market this offseason, but what they have added seems to be a pretty significant significant move if a guy like Rolen can stay healthy."

KEN ROSENTHAL: "Absolutely. And, they did most of their work the last few offseasons with free agents; they really bulked up their team that way. And remember Roy Halladay last season said there was a lack of urgency. I think when you bring in two championship players, Scott Rolen and David Eckstein, that problem is eliminated. Stairs also is a guy who's been there and is a tough-minded individual. And even Marco Scutaro played in some playoff games with the Oakland A's. So I really like what they've done, they've improved their depth dramatically, and Eckstein and Rolen will form a very good left side of the infield."

And blah, blah, blah. Also, the team wants to win, the pitching is good, etc. If you want to see the rest, check out the media section on Sportsnet. Catching the Yankees won't be that difficult, IMO (unless they throw money at their woes, then again... They can and will). Like Rosenthal said, I think the Jays aren't being credited for what is a strong team... When healthy. And I think that's the reason they're not getting credit for a good team. No one believes that these guys are going to stay healthy. And I'm going to admit it right now... Lump me in with that crowd, because sadly, I don't buy it either. Watching the clips from the 2006 offense helps to clear that up a tad (I feel better about everything when I can watch them mash like they once did), but I still think it's going to take nothing short of a miracle to keep all of these guys healthy. Yes, there's significant depth to compensate for when someone goes down, but I just don't think it's going to be enough.

I seriously hope I'm wrong. In any case, I'm going to enjoy the baseball season. Maybe I'm just bitter today for some reason. I love this team and have no doubt about what they can do when healthy.

Speaking of significant depth, the Jays are apparently close to a minor league deal with former Jay Shannon Stewart. Cool. I don't see where he fits into the plans, but I guess depth is depth... And that is good depth. To me, this looks like protection in case Wells, Stairs, Johnson, or Overbay go down... It's a good move. I know Lind is in the minors waiting, but if you think about it... The kid might benefit from a full year in AAA without being bounced back and forth four times. That might be part of the justification for the whole thing.

Also, searching for the above picture of Shannon Stewart showed me that not only is Shannon Stewart a major league ball-player, but also a contestant on America's Next Top Model and a Playboy Playmate! Wow, that's a man on the go.

Let's make some news, shall we?

If there's anything worse than reporters trying to string together baseball articles in the offseason, it's reporters trying together articles during Spring Training... When there's no news to report. Still, they feel that they should be reporting something, as there baseball players are all congregated in one area, doing baseball things. Really, this kind of reporting results in a whole lot of irrelevant crap. Anything that is the least bit relevant is so repetitive.

Here are some examples from the irrelevant crap category:
-Prince Fielder is going vegetarian, says the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel.
-Rios can't put on clothes properly and then needs Overbay's help to correct the problem, and Zaun says something football related.
-Ryan Dempster thinks the Cubs are going all the way in '08, but then again... Kevin Millar says the same about his Orioles. Ten points for Millar for hilarity.

Here are some examples of cookie-cutter relevant crap:
-David Eckstein is small and scrappy, Doc is good, and Matt Stairs is Canadian
-Manny Ramirez exists and is happy/healthy.
-The Tigers are good.
-The Mets and Phillies are in competition! I love how Rollins seems to think he was the first player ever to declare his team was going to win.

And here's just something hilarious. Are you big, loud, and obnoxious? Can you pick up choreography, despite your jiggling belly? Have your friends commonly compared you to a large, sea mammal? WHY.... The Florida Marlins have a job for you! We may have the Junior Jays, but the Florida Marlins are currently casting for the Marlins Manatees. And I assure you, it's exactly what it looks like. I guess all of the pretty is being used up by the Mermaids. Mop up the drool, boys.

Mermaids and Manatees aside, I can't wait until the games start. Six and change days, and there will be actual play to report on. As opposed to: "So and so is feeling good" and "So and so is pitching" etc.

On a completely unrelated note... What kind of movie rental place doesn't have Jurassic Park? Like what the fucking fuck. I wanted to watch some dinosaurs kill things.

Late... As always...

UPDATE (6:46pm): So, Jeff Blair has got the scoop on the Trot Nixon thing. Apparently whatever reason the Jays had for checking out Nixon was not dire enough for them to take interest. The Diamondbacks want a piece of that though, by the sounds of it.

So, I'm a little bit late to the steroid-ranting party. In fact, I had a whole post written up in defense of Andy Pettitte after arguing with folks about the kind of character he was, and why he was in the right to do what he did, until I realized something- I don't care. I don't care about Roger Clemens and his ego. I don't care about the autographs in Congress. I don't care about the further proof that the Bonds hate is racially motivated. I don't care about Zaun's crazy (albeit somewhat believable) steroid excuse.

The Boys are already in Dunedin, no one seems to be restricted in anyway. They're saying Chacin might be a little behind schedule, but expect him to catch up quickly and be fine by the end of Spring Training. Spring Training has begun, and they play their first game in 10 days. Who the hell cares about steroids; baseball is back. So let's move on, shall we?

Trot Nixon?:
Jerry Crasnick of ESPN.Com mentioned that the Jays were among four teams that scouted Trot Nixon yesterday in Arizona... This worries me a little. Naturally this could just be something to do, or it could have a deeper meaning. I'm confused, but it does raise some red flags. The Jays have no need for a fourth outfielder... If everyone's healthy.

If there are doubts about Johnson, I admit Nixon would be possible, but unlikely. I think in that case, the smartest thing the team could do would to bring up Adam Lind. Otherwise, it's just a waste of money for what would probably be less production. Another possibility would be that Wells isn't where the team would like him to be. This jumps out at me as more as a possibility, with a void in RF after Rios having to move to centre. But all reports state that Vernon is fine, and in that case... It would still be possible to bring Lind up anyway.

There's also the possibility that Rios is on the block still. I seriously doubt that though, as it doesn't jive with the extension that's currently in the works for our tall, lanky dude in RF. Then again, maybe I'm just overreacting and the Jays were just there to be there. It's a fine way to spend a Saturday afternoon.

Spring Training:
Thanks to Jordan Bastian for posting pictures from Spring Training. Rios' new hair makes me sad inside (that's a mohawk? It looks like a very ugly hat). Observe:
Then again, this conversation is pure gold:
RICCIARDI: "Alex, if you cut your hair, you'd be like Tom Brady. You'd have them all. What do you think Johnny Mac?"
MCDONALD: "The problem is that he's already had them all."
RIOS: "Aw, c'mon, Johnny."

Also, whoever mentioned to Adam Lind that he should grow facial hair needs to be kicked in the face. Then again, I guess he's trying to look older. I need a front view before I entirely pass judgment... All I know is that a person doesn't necessarily need to look homeless to look older.

The new design:
Also, everything's working now in all browsers! I had made some mistakes in the CSS that weren't showing up in Firefox (height:100% doesn't fly in IE). I tested it in Netscape, AOL Explorer, IE, Safari, and Opera... So all of the XML and CSS works fine. I've really enjoyed doing this, actually. I think I'm going to translate my personal site into XML. I'm a sad, sad individual, it would seem.

Colours? What?

//EDIT// So apparently the layout doesn't work in IE. You can see the first post and the first link on the right and not much else. I'll try to work it out later this evening, hopefully. Then again, who in their right mind uses IE anymore? Get Firefox, you fools! Still, I will try to fix it. If it doesn't work in IE, I fear what it does in Safari and Opera. It'll probably eat children or something.

Something looks different... Yeah, I was rather productive today. So instead of staring at the boring-ness of the Blogger default templates when you're not reading my blog, you can stare at the boring-ness of my own personal template! At least this is more colourful and more Jays related.

For some reason the navigation bar won't span to the bottom, but it happens, I suppose. I'll try to figure it out, but it'll probably be fine as is.

More to come later when I'm not in a rush. I have a lot of baseball ramblings to get out considering Also, Brad said this blog needed more ninja. So it is done.

Yeah, I'm not dead

UPDATE (9:47pm): THIS BLOG showed up on Google Alerts in my Inbox! The system DOES work!

--

So I tend to disappear from time to time. No, I'm not in a ditch. I'm probably just tearing my hair out from some silly assignment (ever done prolog?), or obsessing over baseball to the point that I don't even know what to blog about. That's right, I get that bad sometimes. Sue me.

So I think the media is playing tricks on me...
I set up some of these nifty Google Alert dealies so that I get the latest Jays news as soon as i happens. I've set up blog and news alerts for Dustin McGowan, A.J. Burnett, Roy Halladay, Shaun Marcum, and the Jays as a whole for the past few weeks and I'm loving it. Sadly, FOX has a meteorologist that shares a name with a certain oft-injured fire-baller, resulting in many daily forecasts from the states, but it's still well worth it. I've found some real gems, and some real... Interesting things.

First of all, there's no love for John McDonald outside of the Jays' blogosphere. Kevin Youkilis is the best thing ever, apparently. The Pirates are going to the 2008 WS. The O's are going to finish ahead of the Jays. Dustin McGowan and Shaun Marcum are going to regress because they are young and unproven, while Phil Hughes, Joba Chamberlain, and Ian Kennedy will carry the Yankees to a WS victory. Troy Glaus and Josh Towers are still on the team, and apparently Frank Thomas is no longer a Jay.

I've read some interesting things. Some optimistic, some pessimistic.

What I mean when I say that the media is playing tricks on me (the media and the blogosphere combined)... My hopes are higher going into this season than I would have wanted them to be. I'm trying to go into the season with realistic expectations, but I'm being peppered with the same expectations of victory that came at me last year... I guess I enjoyed the season more than ever before regardless, but still... I feel hopeful guys.

I've read a number of writings that are of the opinion that the Jays are going to win the division if healthy, or the wild card if mostly healthy. Though I feel a little more cheerful when I read something like that (and often read it aloud, much to the dismay of my poor, baseball-abused roommate), I feel reproachful. We've been burned before, folks!

I do know one thing... Baseball can't start soon enough for me. Or my poor, poor friends, really. My friends hate the baseball-deprived me more than the baseball-engrossed me. I'm jonesing, guys. And jonesing bad. I can't wait to see Doc show his stuff on March 31. I'm sorry, but my Database course is being skipped that day. Without a doubt.